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The Federal Reserve took another shot at slowing the economy on
Tuesday afternoon by hiking the Federal Funds rate by a quarter percent
to its highest level since 1995, while simultaneously increasing the
Discount Rate to its highest level since 1991. The only reaction from
the bond market was a mild decrease (yes, a decline) in ten and thirty
year Treasury rates while one, two and five year Treasuries remained
nearly unchanged. Mortgages didn't budge at all.
Meanwhile, the Dow turned a 77 point drop at the open into a 150
point gain late in the day, undeterred by the Fed's efforts to cool the
exuberance. Word that the Supreme Court had ruled 5-4 that the US Food
and Drug Administration cannot regulate tobacco as a drug (because
Congress never granted it such authority) gave the Dow a big lift as
tobacco stocks rallied. However, the Nasdaq was stalled near unchanged
with an hour of trading remaining.
We learned on Tuesday morning that the January trade deficit widened
to a record $28 billion due to higher oil imports, based on the sharply
higher cost of such inbound cargo. Meanwhile, exports fell into negative
territory for the first time since last May.
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